cshare            0.682899
mshare            0.144225
trans_fromgood    0.961660
trans_frombad     0.205422
grad2             1.178127
grad3             1.223067
grad4             1.277100
Name: US, dtype: float64
cshare            0.003850
mshare            0.003530
trans_fromgood    0.001577
trans_frombad     0.009521
grad2             0.016650
grad3             0.016409
grad4             0.016231
Name: US, dtype: float64
                    mean        sd
cshare          0.682899  0.003850
mshare          0.144225  0.003530
trans_fromgood  0.961660  0.001577
trans_frombad   0.205422  0.009521
grad2           1.178127  0.016650
grad3           1.223067  0.016409
grad4           1.277100  0.016231
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  5
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.1053 True
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3974 True
psi 0.1616 True
delta_h1 -0.989 True
delta_h2 3.5117 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 1 False
price 1 False
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.0038498188619336283
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0035304301568975733
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.0015768678590229242
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.009520886903446983
grad2 1.1781272865329295 0.016649704287059433
grad3 1.2230665691714895 0.016409088465787112
grad4 1.2770998962196927 0.016230789791335097
f =  330.5820095277431 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6829526156339212
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14551879976769003
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701554676130615
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3375760270647075
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0799186472899285
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.136504193299135
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.166861272813277
f =  362.8577611119563 , pars =  [ 2.20531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6749936822789098
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14360763747829708
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701621962835127
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3443599038365376
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0780638676050773
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1327648992020622
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1621281134064583
f =  636.951023065457 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.497405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6852642916343332
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14839067077540483
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701666529314673
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.4007676282177645
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0664125739213735
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1037876537932612
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.125497275748116
f =  1286.6841027800447 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.26157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6448685088050159
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.0993852621582918
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.970237948930381
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.4654834683005351
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0509161780622238
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.0831294378819405
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.0985722130904283
f =  512.0804422364782 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.88895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6787514681964051
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13968492185447662
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701553746506776
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3785165020600947
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.076335930355588
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1170594580222977
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1407286350752324
f =  339.44798849522897 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.61165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6724774121281722
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13285117214526
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9729940655651407
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3228092006858457
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.076910471767836
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1322261108856904
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1618105857725678
f =  308.7350226999449 , pars =  [ 2.00531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.689263720886905
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14578994152503683
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701532961397789
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3312360252346644
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0815330913600432
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1396584574054966
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1710749165312804
f =  235.09559929788028 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.297405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6794726762809148
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14090681961619386
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701531088147776
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.31020762814247255
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.086716129743317
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1484129454329366
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1846604226042539
f =  4770.708681312531 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.06157805 -0.98895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.8385891919240412
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.33036216922727196
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701526812483717
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.10505605277715775
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.170732939657824
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.3124512698627995
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.498131470460387
f =  288.5707106161931 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -1.08895796  3.51165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6857081089107153
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14893238818382443
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9701555621004498
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3270629676012009
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0839016604869127
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1440046994395114
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1760563309560783
f =  368.2312284781528 , pars =  [ 2.10531719  0.397405    0.16157805 -0.98895796  3.41165063]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6931189182572145
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15770145283970616
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9670207368545739
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.35135118751680505
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0825679749428943
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1404542813872711
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1721127954483375
f =  261.4029921724381 , pars =  [ 2.05040298  0.30229777  0.19205019 -1.0635259   3.53336607]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6717485143129973
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.12784907961682837
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9707945097765577
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.29937785853290166
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0804248688824685
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1351147675615325
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1778543170884406
f =  306.1269252270775 , pars =  [ 2.13636487  0.29305803  0.19227027 -0.96719522  3.50157511]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6677861488514056
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.12868372471398778
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698525937587587
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3132995669704507
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0769665165973679
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.126630947254118
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1688217694420124
f =  230.16858637102646 , pars =  [ 2.1156781   0.30154793  0.15850898 -0.99334627  3.51340023]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6806360894312552
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14328026494635257
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9702052957260041
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.309126001488102
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0869420607570797
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1494984667312724
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1857961551347285
f =  234.7879413324706 , pars =  [ 2.12223378  0.3131626   0.17491655 -1.00539718  3.51911767]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6749025228473202
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13669069867223324
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9703757940576022
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2974638236345036
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0796494413216773
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.13379942077596
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1779342767471708
f =  226.15717037835356 , pars =  [ 2.11000025  0.30964779  0.15838434 -0.99200867  3.51280899]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6818947882860613
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14394383105969247
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.970187696003731
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.307291985310351
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0865260178821992
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1487758202812395
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.185882360373015
f =  267.4043316016389 , pars =  [ 2.11345293  0.31329488  0.16437602 -0.98875625  3.50748928]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6777035408654918
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.13936235704102384
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9700288597556644
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3212544762547653
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0861351935768981
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1470894601938662
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1803469715086474
f =  247.84081496788212 , pars =  [ 2.11091142  0.31130976  0.15872353 -0.98374935  3.51810768]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.679957393431904
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14209902298353327
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9703452550788427
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3142822217891819
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.086094578838372
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1477413981793014
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1821885704026909
f =  242.90779337258886 , pars =  [ 2.10510873  0.30971476  0.1587044  -0.99809428  3.5190485 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6807436748349918
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14270816936313876
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9703731112792789
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3127253265090087
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0861886372535718
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1481470808769005
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1831342738816544
f =  222.74769479337934 , pars =  [ 2.11071287  0.3052104   0.15572817 -0.99287414  3.50432386]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6843630027565248
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.14720507969968985
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699336104339412
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3057216912894945
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0857565728682843
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1476249092601423
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.18606122688935
f =  220.62139741001877 , pars =  [ 2.10262126  0.30434576  0.1507503  -0.98991449  3.5048134 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6881194916036963
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15112200213253874
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699482029169642
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3044944611028929
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.087325744531811
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1505177369717565
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.188548623325167
f =  224.04820982180183 , pars =  [ 2.10766185  0.30650364  0.1476348  -0.98220861  3.50389189]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.689476796213272
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1534418999107584
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9699204724127125
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.30533563287510773
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0881350040344135
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1523838956512882
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1897382835708608
f =  233.26105754668023 , pars =  [ 2.093027    0.30259131  0.15222424 -0.98961883  3.50319718]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6875867373113933
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1495566495799288
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9698995617637646
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.3102351721963001
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.087037865776958
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1501002188983616
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.1863037879303102
f =  173.35914018382027 , pars =  [ 2.10020547  0.2999028   0.14460865 -0.98809452  3.49903483]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6943141499294803
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15807447278690417
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9697739706019635
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28719299199757775
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.101386811016851
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1691518910719076
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2103877052483076
f =  165.53903715118292 , pars =  [ 2.09784599  0.29361623  0.14082993 -0.98465977  3.49366494]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7044954361168296
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1694083714412889
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9696112090294599
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24447097269265944
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0993453590143765
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.167879239786487
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2334392943335077
f =  222.31686803052307 , pars =  [ 2.10032267  0.29781763  0.13402062 -0.98275757  3.4885435 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7127161012131322
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.17878237611172562
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9694551368304553
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23620955532647248
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1038271047570802
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1764299869791903
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2461842208748573
f =  199.33641557930994 , pars =  [ 2.09210524  0.29170359  0.13633289 -0.99119823  3.49430576]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7092366463130398
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.17463199898732476
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969630662616646
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23998882956760298
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0997109880645026
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.168617706118496
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2359585979205374
f =  163.14027511927287 , pars =  [ 2.09633528  0.29450801  0.14246572 -0.98870222  3.48483855]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7045297862092885
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16929713786869613
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693418100597402
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24555546591389588
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1000319165201518
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1690334681553018
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2348100303993266
f =  192.44769280705964 , pars =  [ 2.09195886  0.29681121  0.13954948 -0.996352    3.48191989]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.708019126308988
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1734562745378937
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692521758097362
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24485894869818325
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.099130564950114
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1676851375029789
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2339361988500208
f =  167.7522527266806 , pars =  [ 2.08893007  0.29992143  0.14312058 -0.98535608  3.48689578]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.698151957778663
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16155450819257455
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9694048041719859
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.280512668217103
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1038429784708734
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1749476092136972
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2182978399637334
f =  178.19182646926944 , pars =  [ 2.09207262  0.29175361  0.14845491 -0.98352592  3.48824126]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6923961467532925
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15485886956641476
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9694459660418691
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2948622181301638
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1013847078780075
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.168231368275765
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2082602807113205
f =  207.19447012912343 , pars =  [ 2.09134047  0.29189583  0.13612684 -0.98402028  3.48236338]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7112097890047758
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.17658886908947344
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692657933482556
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2388202019030717
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1030380689350252
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1742920690896799
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2433170862608374
f =  173.9707575111617 , pars =  [ 2.10514395  0.29390473  0.14690043 -0.98958391  3.48610324]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6934709319723564
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.15745150011991416
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693805689868549
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.29041405644639684
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.10167138322856
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.169506862641351
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2102015914253188
f =  205.78653576599814 , pars =  [ 2.10125731  0.29050089  0.13713446 -0.9880121   3.47928715]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7113141467182492
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.17647005438189234
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9691710965453963
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.23810394501652948
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1030837138739333
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1742678893253893
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2436210476238407
f =  170.93592889592423 , pars =  [ 2.09242212  0.29747208  0.14274435 -0.98533187  3.49286753]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6973694122932342
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16088299789769936
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9695869674875736
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28208034934289067
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1027088858579543
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.172611279762341
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2153609466145223
f =  172.18927897217435 , pars =  [ 2.09836283  0.29276373  0.14293927 -0.98675685  3.48855847]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6968923873824224
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1608969928069899
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9694556370676441
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28348982082809165
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1022825626738402
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1721982552081425
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2150022248010517
f =  171.85037801080247 , pars =  [ 2.09604942  0.29380788  0.14211798 -0.98941332  3.48544189]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.698087156293396
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16254328931445558
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693602940737173
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28104418762376554
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1032203371269842
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1743240297009652
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2177702497325817
f =  167.4939679398595 , pars =  [ 2.0966211   0.29579911  0.14360042 -0.98754192  3.48347197]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.69712956138825
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16128982650325888
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9692998766639083
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2821192966838713
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1035995674352148
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1745995700318992
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2178306255978917
f =  171.78902373261448 , pars =  [ 2.09671261  0.29511741  0.14186787 -0.98871941  3.48519704]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6982617455791906
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16280791668596328
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693527879563552
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28060497116487276
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.103380575069523
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1746825759291628
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2182421055520207
f =  158.8659339687481 , pars =  [ 2.09605532  0.29400697  0.14284207 -0.98827488  3.48425005]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7039124490283533
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16872388984235004
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693237583739321
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24548157640756968
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.100017117129639
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1690744413543448
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.234913929958496
f =  168.99456186415176 , pars =  [ 2.09628155  0.29392571  0.14372753 -0.98865381  3.48412928]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6969555347673858
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1609880220115046
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693200542741808
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2829287608127747
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1030840061494558
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1736699903066594
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.216654138107842
f =  175.6897757838967 , pars =  [ 2.09567391  0.29426704  0.14260868 -0.98888917  3.48365417]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6982029753788977
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16239607027649383
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693054724291785
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28313395703899635
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1032200384619764
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1736294714952349
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2164917025171766
f =  171.57284361762476 , pars =  [ 2.09593986  0.29399382  0.14279306 -0.98745411  3.48480721]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6977271890553322
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16174902247102052
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693408461591342
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2822882051920861
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1029239874029009
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1736366797682865
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2169937202991892
f =  169.97001031367512 , pars =  [ 2.0952882   0.2945309   0.14294083 -0.98805691  3.48453246]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6978610430464458
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1617089443716385
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693324141169086
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28151002558844507
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1031000862264748
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1739744997123511
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2173787385911767
f =  169.5722033233615 , pars =  [ 2.09690805  0.29349241  0.14276731 -0.98832443  3.48424345]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.697769848357591
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16200169703475437
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693235570348157
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28113650119483824
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1032547097946857
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1742608357894848
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2177650160651496
f =  170.88664449721122 , pars =  [ 2.09638512  0.29376921  0.1430435  -0.98799629  3.48509652]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6976833762155985
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1617250555109156
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693497081570877
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2821567791938956
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1033231539445985
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1738927356231605
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2171113554547772
f =  168.4854416429702 , pars =  [ 2.09585767  0.29416659  0.14288506 -0.9876917   3.48347965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6977745884243125
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16203212900706615
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693001165286496
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28119899008765226
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1038263626533977
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1753314636857346
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.218776668519836
f =  167.2715005588102 , pars =  [ 2.09640156  0.29482385  0.14313149 -0.98801952  3.48399735]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6971864996632328
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16158900701773563
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693160003543342
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28144219605543075
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1035810649046203
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1746326087780108
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2180866411737754
f =  172.3323997258749 , pars =  [ 2.09563872  0.29331636  0.14234083 -0.98831794  3.48456054]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6981861614770511
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1623507713165554
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.969333282172032
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28160446171253967
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1032734773278199
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1743049509231962
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2175665751369975
f =  169.43016047046925 , pars =  [ 2.0962065   0.2942093   0.14276766 -0.98827274  3.48440125]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6976202863227807
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16190567490786859
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693283964811181
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28122148747570364
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1031004304507335
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1740385715772548
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.217557454114114
f =  173.7739435303033 , pars =  [ 2.09605124  0.29398664  0.14290787 -0.98828237  3.48432205]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6977319807348713
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16186453170184956
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693259662473882
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28300885439865875
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1028638372960775
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1730138000586119
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.215979355033275
f =  170.49282612814534 , pars =  [ 2.0960667   0.29401344  0.1427378  -0.98822088  3.48415471]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6977221882221042
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16201534585965396
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693208336101465
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28171903368315987
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1032186426284658
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1742221975616962
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2178015194877676
f =  170.66529988470455 , pars =  [ 2.09606879  0.29399359  0.1428493  -0.98817952  3.48427227]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.697853343934039
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1618720257512085
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693244438929052
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28163387378133004
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1030699287776822
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1739008007424916
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2172707054447311
f =  162.2815733786276 , pars =  [ 2.09608509  0.29401954  0.14285195 -0.98835488  3.48420047]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7045133078905909
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16889412745870755
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693222354248295
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24618253017725744
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0999295424066418
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.168758948616897
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.234220042046401
f =  173.5625846992761 , pars =  [ 2.0960642   0.29393456  0.14278611 -0.98829361  3.48428461]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6978255458461181
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16204285742227736
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693248199253288
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28266485553358583
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1030036568080328
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.173247471574025
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2163021125471902
f =  167.5524634179812 , pars =  [ 2.09597383  0.29406219  0.14282644 -0.98828289  3.48424907]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.697863587782099
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16202032771111607
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693237306041337
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28037657889305173
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1036692388428586
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1750857455346881
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2188397740450128
f =  162.08278914278375 , pars =  [ 2.09606523  0.29398646  0.14293466 -0.98829554  3.48422811]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.7044886567694102
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1688150865334256
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693230852130953
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24631809122214945
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0999315388055624
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1687111852438037
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2340974927958261
f =  161.35881787174552 , pars =  [ 2.09613116  0.29406263  0.14286205 -0.98826037  3.48422678]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.70427264639703
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16887053221454007
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693230451686274
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.24609988529259946
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.0999507120694219
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1688122782657795
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2343081921498538
f =  167.5986621083561 , pars =  [ 2.0961403   0.2939545   0.14283949 -0.98827676  3.48424625]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.6973860860295081
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.16175953232603546
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693236356088946
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.28146657108743234
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1037120848317195
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1752381008024924
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.218847883373506
f =  170.61166464561276 , pars =  [ 2.09603404  0.2939722   0.14288059 -0.98827258  3.48416729]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
cshare 0.6828989411571904 0.697730259448201
mshare 0.14422500000000002 0.1618698438986454
trans_fromgood 0.961659580677326 0.9693212225513921
trans_frombad 0.20542168521891396 0.2820117904933318
grad2 1.1781272865329295 1.1033073833876712
grad3 1.2230665691714895 1.1743651161067328
grad4 1.2770998962196927 1.2175357932930535
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
          $\sigma$    $\phi$ $\alpha_0$
estimate  2.096055  0.294007   0.142842
se        0.063596  0.049669   0.004335
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.096055   True  0.063596
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.294007   True  0.049669
psi       0.142842   True  0.004335
delta_h1 -0.988275   True  0.062279
delta_h2  3.485250   True  0.013469
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.000000  False       NaN
price     1.000000  False       NaN
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
